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Analysis

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Gulf Maritime Security: Balancing Partnership and Flexibility

Gulf states are increasingly influential, though still cautious, actors in the region’s evolving maritime security landscape.

Royal Saudi Naval Forces warship Unayzah sails to Hamad Port ahead of the Doha International Maritime Defence Exhibition and Conference, in Qatar, January 18.(REUTERS/Imad Creidi)

Iraq’s Post-Election Impasse: Sovereignty, Power, and the Impact of External Vetoes

The government-formation crisis is a test of whether Iraq can assert genuine sovereignty in a system still shaped by foreign influence, factional vetoes, and constitutional loopholes.

Abbas Kadhim

8 min read

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during parliamentary elections, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

A Tentative Trust: What the Barzan-EDGE Deal Reveals About Gulf Reconciliation

As Gulf states pursue economic diversification and knowledge economies less dependent on resource extraction, the logic of competition may be becoming less compelling and the benefits of coordination more apparent.

David B. Roberts

6 min read

Visitors walk past the EDGE Group display during Dubai Air Show in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, November 21, 2019. (REUTERS/Christopher Pike)

Gulf States on the Frontline of U.S.-Iran Volatility

From a Gulf perspective, red lines keep being crossed, and the guardrails for avoiding entanglement in conflict prove unsatisfactory.

President Donald J. Trump walks on the podium after a signing ceremony of his Board of Peace initiative at the Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 22. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber)

The Specter of War Over Iran

The January 30 edition of the Iran Media Review examines Iranian responses to an expanded U.S. military presence in the Gulf.

Ali Alfoneh

5 min read

The Specter of War Over Iran

Iran’s State-Censored Media Reacts to Maliki’s Return to Power in Iraq

The January 27 edition of the Iran Media Review analyzes Iranian media reactions to an announcement that Nuri al-Maliki is likely to return as Iraq’s prime minister.

Ali Alfoneh

3 min read

Iran’s State-Censored Media Reacts to Maliki’s Return to Power in Iraq

Government Claims 3,117 Dead in Iran Protests

The January 23 edition of the Iran Media Review examines a government statement on the death toll for the protests in Iran.

Ali Alfoneh

2 min read

Government Claims 3,117 Dead in Iran Protests

Defiant Khamenei Blames Trump for the Protests

The January 20 edition of the Iran Media Review examines a speech by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei blaming the United States for recent protests in Iran.

Ali Alfoneh

4 min read

Defiant Khamenei Blames Trump for the Protests

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi government projects that the budget deficit will narrow during 2026-28, but this will depend on a rebound in oil prices and tight control of spending.

Tim Callen

3 min read

Putting the 2026 Saudi Budget Under the Microscope

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The $1 trillion Saudi trade and investment commitment to the United States will be extremely difficult to achieve given the size of the Saudi economy and its current financial situation.

Tim Callen

3 min read

The Saudi Trade and Investment Commitment to the United States in Perspective

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

The International Monetary Fund continues to endorse the direction of economic reform in Saudi Arabia but notes that risks from oil price uncertainty and strong credit growth will need to be carefully managed to keep the economy on a strong growth trajectory.

Tim Callen

4 min read

The IMF Comments on the Saudi Economy and Policy Framework

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

The Saudi current account moved into a small deficit in 2024 despite oil prices of $80 per barrel. A return to a surplus is unlikely unless oil revenue moves sharply higher.

Tim Callen

4 min read

Saudi Current Account in Deficit in 2024 Despite High Oil Prices

Ammar Alsabban: Superman With a Saudi Accent

With passions as diverse as puppetry, podcasting, and superheroes, Ammar Alsabban is redefining the creative limits of Saudi identity.

Sean Foley

14 min read

Ammar Alsabban. (Courtesy of Ammar Alsabban)

Rahina: A Jeweler’s Ode to Dhofari Heritage

Through Rahina, Fatma al-Najjar is exploring her Dhofari heritage and tapping into ancestral memories, one piece of jewelry at a time.

10 min read

Rahina necklaces made by Fatma al-Najjar. (Photo courtesy of Fatma al-Najjar)

Independent Researchers Are Advancing UAE History on Social Media

Independent researchers and informal collaboratives have been connecting through social media to fill in gaps in popular knowledge of the United Arab Emirates’ pre-state era.

Abdulla Almarzooqi

20 min read

A view of downtown Abu Dhabi. (Credit: Abdulla Almarzooqi)

Manama Story: Preserving the Soul of the City

The Manama Story project seeks to preserve the history of the Bahraini city, one archive at a time.

Shifaa Alsairafi

8 min read

A view of the "Soul of Manama" exhibit. (Credit: Fadhel al-Sharaf)

A New Gulf Partnership

In May, President Donald J. Trump embarked on a trip to the Gulf that signals a new era in U.S.-Gulf relations. AGSI's A New Gulf Partnership series explores the ways U.S. strategic relations with these countries are evolving and offers policy recommendations for the U.S. administration to maximize political and economic influence.

President Donald J. Trump is welcomed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, May 13. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder)

Energy and Climate Initiative

AGSIW’s Energy and Climate Initiative explores Gulf energy and climate policies, technological advances, and pressing political, social, and environmental issues ahead of COP28.

'Cop28 UAE' logo is displayed on the screen during the opening ceremony of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week under the theme of 'United on Climate Action Toward COP28,' in Abu Dhabi, UAE, January 16. (REUTERS/Rula Rouhana)

U.S. Presidential Election

AGSIW’s U.S. Presidential Election series explores Gulf perspectives on the 2024 election and considers how the election results may shape the future of U.S. engagement in the Gulf region.

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris take part in a presidential debate hosted by ABC in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., September 10, 2024 in a combination of file photographs. REUTERS/Brian Snyder - RC22Y9AP0PX3

Trees of the Gulf

This series looks at the vital role certain trees play in the region's collective memory, survival, and plans for the future.

A worker collects dates from a palm tree during Unaizah Season for Dates, capital of Al-Qassim region, Saudi Arabia August 15, 2020. (REUTERS /Ahmed Yosri)

All Analysis

CLEAR ALL

Gulf Maritime Security: Balancing Partnership and Flexibility

Gulf states are increasingly influential, though still cautious, actors in the region’s evolving maritime security landscape.

Royal Saudi Naval Forces warship Unayzah sails to Hamad Port ahead of the Doha International Maritime Defence Exhibition and Conference, in Qatar, January 18.(REUTERS/Imad Creidi)

Iraq’s Post-Election Impasse: Sovereignty, Power, and the Impact of External Vetoes

The government-formation crisis is a test of whether Iraq can assert genuine sovereignty in a system still shaped by foreign influence, factional vetoes, and constitutional loopholes.

Abbas Kadhim

8 min read

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani shows his ink-stained finger after voting at a polling station in the Green Zone during parliamentary elections, in Baghdad, Iraq, November 11, 2025. (REUTERS/Ahmed Saad)

A Tentative Trust: What the Barzan-EDGE Deal Reveals About Gulf Reconciliation

As Gulf states pursue economic diversification and knowledge economies less dependent on resource extraction, the logic of competition may be becoming less compelling and the benefits of coordination more apparent.

David B. Roberts

6 min read

Visitors walk past the EDGE Group display during Dubai Air Show in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, November 21, 2019. (REUTERS/Christopher Pike)

Gulf States on the Frontline of U.S.-Iran Volatility

From a Gulf perspective, red lines keep being crossed, and the guardrails for avoiding entanglement in conflict prove unsatisfactory.

President Donald J. Trump walks on the podium after a signing ceremony of his Board of Peace initiative at the Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, January 22. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber)

How the UAE Became Serbia’s Most Important Arab Partner

Through its increasing ties with Serbia, the UAE has secured a lasting strategic foothold in the Western Balkans, and Serbia has gained an influential Arab partner that is likely to remain central to Belgrade’s multipolar foreign policy calculus.

Giorgio Cafiero

12 min read

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic shakes hands with UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan as they attend a military parade in Belgrade, Serbia, September 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Darko Vojinovic)

The Architecture of Iran’s Digital Repression

The Iranian regime’s internet censorship and shutdowns function as comprehensive weapons of political warfare, designed to isolate, demoralize, and ultimately suppress dissent.

Sara Bazoobandi

11 min read

Women cross a street under a banner showing hands firmly holding Iranian flags as a sign of patriotism, as one of them flashes the victory sign, in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 14. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)